DonkeyXote's avatar

DonkeyXote

8 points

I'm just a 5/5 player fwiw

Not a happy spot to be in with AA23 ss OOP against a loose passive & euro pro, 225bb deep, on a dynamic board, with the bottom end of the straight, no backup, no blockers.

Is it a huge mistake to just call in the SB with these weak Aces? If EP tries to limp re-raise, he might fold out the euro pro and then we can either jam or play post flop against a loose-passive.

But in this case, we're OOP on the flop where, if we are behind, we're dead. Would villain have 6789 ds in his opening range and 3bet defend IP range in addition to KK's? If we are ahead, it's not by much. Even KK89dd type hands would be best case scenario.

Tough spot to be in.

April 22, 2025 | 9:03 p.m.

I'll give this a shot - I'm just beginner PLO player, though:

Pre-flop is fine. We are trip-suited with low danglers, OOP so I'm not that excited about raising it pre-flop and having to go MW OOP w terrible aces. I can see merit to raising small though, hoping that one of the maniacs limp/re-raises with something.

Flop: Any 2,3,5,7,8 (14 cards) or spade (8 cards) on the turn completes the draws so that's 22 cards that hurt us. So I would check/ raise to $335 to charge the draws, expose the sets/two pair. Your hand from the BB looks like 2357 or 3578 or Ks blocker-357 or something like that, so 2pr/sets will continue and might even get it in.

Top set is 70/30 here vs just a naked flush draw so expect every draw & sets to call. Even if everybody folds, you're getting them to surrender their collective 30-50% of equity on the flop.

The only hand you're behind is like 23 57ss or 3578 and even then you're a 47:53 dog.

If a turn blank hits, we pot or go 3/4. The naked flush draws are 80/20 so they might call anyway to gamble. Whereas the combo draws like 2357suited or 3578 will still be about flipping with you as a 53:47 favorite.

If the draws hit on the turn, you're about 20/80 underdog, so if you check and someone pots, you'd need 2 other people to call for you to call.

So as played, I c/r flop. Lead turn on blanks or check/eval-pot-odds on non-blanks.

March 6, 2025 | 8:24 p.m.

Hey everyone,

I'm reviewing From the Ground Up PLO with Thomas Emter and he goes over the expected win rates in a GTO environment for different positions:

BTN 19.1 bb/1000
SB -35.4 bb/100
BB -60.9 bb/100
UTG 8.3 bb/100
UTG+1 10.4 bb/100
CO 13.6 bb/100

Where I'm stuck is that if we add these all up, doesn't that indicate an expected win-rate of - 44.9/100? Losing 44.9/100?

Am I missing something here?

TIA

Dec. 5, 2024 | 5:17 a.m.

How does villain have a straight Four to Seven?

June 1, 2021 | 5:04 a.m.

Load more
Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy