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koivisto

73 points

plz stay as Essential pro so i dont need to pay so much to watch your content ;) Great stuff lots to think about really!

July 13, 2026 | 6:34 a.m.

Interesting content.

i think QQ-AKs hard to say how good we are at estimating something like "postflop edge by calling AKs vs jamming" as changes are also the fish sometimes stacks AQo pre or just punts or cold4b folds some equity, i would smash it in and slowplay AA. My intuition says that jamming is better in nearly all scenarios besides one which is that we can really tell his range is just QQ,KK,AA,AK and then its getting closer to just not jam much besides kings i guess.

July 11, 2026 | 4:45 a.m.

10/20 dream crusher limit / for those who run good a feeder of delusions.

April 1, 2026 | 6:25 p.m.

2knl plus is really tough. I recommend 500k plus bankroll for it.

April 1, 2026 | 6:23 p.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

Soon we arent flying anywhere.
Soon there is limited supply at the grocery and people are hoarding just as during covid19 pandemic.
Stockmarket will collapse.
The war will spread and escalate because it is a machine that runs on escalation.
Like you raise someone 3bets you 4bet bluff then he calls you get a good flop you bet he calls then you bluff the turn and the river because everywhere is fold equity.

March 31, 2026 | 10:54 a.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

hmm financially im in the place i thought 10 years ago myself being now. but getting old and losing interest to the game wasn't something i prepared that well for. Nor that it's a heavy grind just to support yourself and your family when no longer enjoying poker and the banks and whole system turning hostile towards what im doing.

Basically world became a maximum human control place. Where they want you to be controlled to the max while you wait for your turn to be dieing in some war. Thats about closest to reality it gets for me. Obviously in countries where things are still good its a different experience like in USA but with this Iran war many things will change and probably go much worse in the upcoming 5 years.

March 31, 2026 | 10:46 a.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

Today my bank just send me some infinite questioning of funds and purposes of transfers. Heading to closure of bank account again and unlikely wanting open third time in different bank and travel to otherside of world for that.

Hope i get to cash everything out in crypto and just not play euro sites either. Pretty fucked up. They say in Europe you have freedom of speach and freedom of this and that but you really are just a slave. Piece of puzzle and when you want some financial freedoms your treated like a criminal. Fuck those banks.

March 27, 2026 | 2:27 p.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

Skrill is not great. Asked me for infinite amount of proof of documents of online poker profits. Sites didn't give such documents they wanted so they closed me out many years ago.

Your left with crypto sites , chico , wpn , coin / apps.

Not ideal.

March 27, 2026 | 8:57 a.m.

Short term result is like a coin flip if you win or not , worthless to care about.
Both blue and redline tanking hard in bigger sample indicates your losing player.

I would stop playing or step further down stakes, study expensively pre-flop ranges and create basic gameplan like which boards cbet and how to play your ranges. Obviously getting to some study group would be biggest help.

Your game is a system , you cant fix anything if the fundament core plan is not good. Your just hoping to run good and jumping to conclusions based on variance.

Instead of playing if you occupy yourself like all your energy to memorize some preflop ranges which you can actually just get for free and then say you sub to some well known software and start drilling stuff from basics like thinking which are all the boards you can c bet ur range and how to defend etc. quality of your game would turn you over time to a solid winner and you would punt much less. Its about off table work which isnt that fun or rewarding at first ...

Thats how to win in poker if thats what you want.

March 26, 2026 | 4:13 p.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

I think 67s is probably good play
J9s i play the same
T7s if not mistaken turn he can fold a bit ace already in theory to your size but it just never happens vs most so if barrel turn which i think is reasonable following through river seems solid
AA i disagree with flop 3bet , reason is player who bluffs there wants to put mid pairs to catchers to spot of folding turns and they may pick some polarized hands , so by 3bet he continue like fd and hands coolering you , dont think they raise Kx much . But by 3betting you put his low eq polar garbage hands to fold ... then turn Qd aftet he floated his range is super strong i would check back and try to find a river fold unless we improve.

March 26, 2026 | 7:31 a.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

Coin was good for headsup to me but for normal games ante its quite different and now software got lot worse imo. and rake nothing exciting.

Chico has its good and bad. High rake not great rb , promos on and off. Sometimes get whales but on and off often dry and tables start and close - quite stressful and timebank doesn't exist much. Good for less cheating when it comes to timebank being low but stressfull tbh.

March 26, 2026 | 4:30 a.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Building Confidence

why not just load 8 tables nl50-nl200 you don't need bluffcatch lot there as matter of fact less you do the better. Few whiskycokes at the cheap charley and loading some good lowstakes stuff and you could do great without overthinking it. ;)

March 12, 2026 | 12:56 p.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Embracing Learning

i think to get off anxiety is first thing , then can overcome overthinking bcz its a consequence of past trauma and anxiety.
Well practically diet matters a ton , under eating or too low proteine diet both cause more anxiety leading to overthinking. Secondly humans are social beings the brain calibrates totally differently itself if you see like 20 plus people everyday who you are able to hold some form of conversation with. Quality of the conversation is indifferent. But to make this happen when grinding online is harder to do. But if its done the impact is that the brain stops fearing of the bomb anxiety drops and overthinking stops.

These are things normies get for free in regular job's a schedule and moslty forced to some socializing. It helps them a lot and pokerplayers often overlook those needs as basic human needs and think that by just making money from home and having maybe a girlfriend or wife is enough when often unfortunately living in same conditions normies lived through covid 19 and they didnt cope well at all with isolation.

I tried live poker ans for some part my brain got to better place but for the other part ,, feeling like energy sinked to conversations and people that i cant add value to their life and neither can they do for me... it was getting annoying and isolating in its own matrix like way...

Somehow i see OP trying to micro-manage variance and worries lot about it yet focuses on mid-high games which seems like two contradictory things. Maybe could try a period of time of playing maximally nl200 and focusing on the volume. Maybe it could be good for the anxiety going down confidence getting boosted like you would stop fearing of mistake when in money the mistake would be quite indifferent. Then at end of month you may have played 45k hands or 55k hands instead of 7k. Your intuitions would sharpen up due to running more decisions through the brain every day.

Enjoy the F1 trip and good luck always.

Nov. 15, 2025 | 11:12 a.m.

Next time you feel angry you walk in the street some guy gives you bad eye okay. You just dont like him . You go and give the first punch. See what happens.

Pick an immigrant.

This is your home work.

Then step two , go fuck a bitch.

Step 3 never talk to your parents . Or to your ex wife .

Maintain a job.

Whistle when you to there .

Get drunk in the evening.

Where is your moral,,,? You abandoned yourself.

Sept. 29, 2025 | 2:39 p.m.

If really think about it

18 years and your at full age then its all your responsibility where you head

Now your 45 and blame it on others

Maybe you failed .

Maybe you got stuck to comfort . Being your own worst enemy and parasite .

It is about what you invite to your house.

Just now this wake-up time ?

Why not before?

You were paralyzed and lived in miserable status quo for an infinite amount of time just to see yourself hit a mental rock bottom.

It really shows the gender differences . Male loyalty etc. its a funny world if you think about it .

Sept. 29, 2025 | 2:22 p.m.

Hmm street life.
I was in the streets at age 13 smoking weed bumming for money to buy alcohol . Some guy said there you go and instead giving money he punch me in face . I stopped with that clown stuff , learned my lesson .

Is always like that . Life punches you in the face until you learn . Then there is miseries and bad fortunes too . Diseases and other bad things which one can never predict .

The way my parents were being raised was to let them cry themselves to sleep. It was the German principle of parenting of their time in most parts of Europe. Pointing finger at them being bad parents , alcoholics or whatever is just shifting responsibility aftet all . We need to raise our ownselves there is simply no other way around it .

Sept. 29, 2025 | 2:01 p.m.

Important is to live in this here and now.
In the past there is really nothing in there.
Is simple , have a livelihood e.g work , pay your bills, take care of yourself eat properly do laundry have clean clothes , shave have clean hair . You reach that level . Then you add say you can go to gym or do some hobbies. Poker maybe.

Then if you got like extra money take care of your sexuality just pay a girl . Okay . Then walk away and you practice this muscle you live for yourself. Some point someone or many can see okay this guy did the self-work they want be with you . Then you can have a girlfriend or whatever .

Is like you need to get comfortable with own worst fears and nightmares . Then some point not many things bother you.

Solitude is a blessing really and being broke is a good place because you will always remember it and think how your in a better place and not broke .

Sept. 29, 2025 | 1:08 p.m.

Nice blog.
I think just focus on yourself for now.
Sounds like youve become a strong person now and still have heart in the right place. Being bitter doesnt add any value but will just eat a person from the inside. Have to move forward - one door closes other door opens.

Sept. 28, 2025 | 2:18 p.m.

As a northern European who lives in other side of world i would say not many worse places to migrate than poland right now. Whole Europe at edge of war and economic depressions. What about you would play some high-stakes live lets say in macau or usa , make new friends and not worry about online poker for while as its obvious that the lifestyle of online poker is isolating ,depressive and causes overthinking and anxiety. It dont matter where one lives if the lifestyle is that then it will be the same there.

Just an idea and some personal experience of what ive done and it changed my life for better fwiw...

Sept. 28, 2025 | 2:50 a.m.

Probably divorce happened. Never have a habit of pleasing your wife. She gets complacent and unhappy because it being a thousand year genetic code she supposed cook for you and make you feel happy.

Sept. 28, 2025 | 1:14 a.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Embracing Learning

The winrate has most to do with how many high vpip fishes you get in a table with you.

Sept. 28, 2025 | 1:11 a.m.

It can be he failed at poker and works at McDonald's so he no longer wants to be your friend. His new friends are the hamburger people.

Sept. 11, 2025 | 5:13 p.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Embracing Learning

I think your hand plays for stacks.
River is a snap call. You under rep. your hand and look like Jx, TT/67s, so for IP a hand like QQ is a jam on that card.

As played passive on flop which i think is okay I would still always jam the turn. Your beat sometimes but can't always have the nuts either. 😏

Gl gl, following 😊

Sept. 11, 2025 | 4:55 p.m.

Comment | koivisto commented on Onklebs 2020

Update 2024 / 2025!

Sept. 3, 2025 | 1:16 a.m.

KQo - hand , deciding based on assumption he probably has to turn some 8x / 9x to bluff and that was what you call "explanation" is not a very strong argument. He can easily over bluff the spot with his AQ/AT combos. Some will play turn passive with them so catching KQ starts to really suck (since turn) however rare to have such a read. Sure you should have some slowplays since turn and what I meant is KQ after you play flop as xR, x/ C turn is relatively close to top of your range and your thought process does not really convince me with the whole line . You range constructed a xR hand that never has many streets of value and is nearly always in trouble to bluff catch. That being said I like the fold probably on the river.

April 3, 2021 | 9:17 a.m.

Also.. kiljusieppo should be tagged avg. reg at best , he is million miles behind modern poker. I know cause we are very close.

April 2, 2021 | 5:42 p.m.

Not getting the river fold with KQo xR 7:09 , aren't you at the top of your range and every single AQ/AT should be in his continue since flop. You think exploitatively it is just not getting bluffed? Then you talk about the topic of having proper ranges to fight for pots but strangely you constructed a depolar xR range and just basically fold the top of it on the river after recognizing he has every AQ/AT continuing flop so you have to be like confident AQ/AT does not bluff river.

J85 - 3bp vs. fish 1/2p bet and then shove with JJ is just something I'm bit doubtful is good you just completely push him off the random part of his range you want him to continue so certainly I would start with smaller c-bet and never jam when get raised. What does the shove accomplish? Just makes him fold his polarized bluff part.

Felt like the redline concept is quite shallow in terms of touching this video / releasing not a lot of information, although got a bit of something to think about so thanks :)

April 2, 2021 | 5:38 p.m.

Very old stats and 2-3bb winrate is not like top 5% reg at lower midstakes : more like tells about being suboptimal player as mentioned .

March 23, 2021 | 5:13 p.m.

pure gold!

March 22, 2021 | 5:38 p.m.

Xeliqq spews very rarely and is quite at the top in the game, very different caliber player than Gabi.

March 22, 2021 | 5:36 p.m.

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